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Country risk analysis: Libya

ESCWA Publication: E/ESCWA/CL6.GCP/2024/CP.1


Country: State of Libya

Publication Type: Information material

Cluster: Governance and Conflict Prevention

Focus Area: Climate change, Financing for development, Gender equality, Governance & enabling environment, Resilient development & conflict prevention

Initiatives: Supporting Least Developed Countries, Strengthening transboundary risk mitigation, Life Cycle

SDGs: Goal 5: Gender Equality, Goal 10: Reduced Inequalities, Goal 13: Climate Action, Goal 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Keywords: Armed conflicts, Civil war, Political conditions, Resilience, Climate change, Covid-19, Economic conditions, Food security, Gender equality, Governance, Corruption, Libya, National security, Natural resources, Policy making, Public institutions, Recommendations, Risk assessment, Social conditions, Unemployment, Water resources, Women in development

Country risk analysis: Libya

August 2024

Risk-informed policymaking is essential not only for prioritizing and tackling current challenges, but also for foreseeing future risks and designing policies aimed at mitigating or preventing them. This report offers evidence-based analysis aimed at preventing and mitigating risks in Libya. It analyses the risk of violence as a function of two elements – high vulnerability and low resilience. These two elements are examined in connection with conflict, climate and development. Various types of risk affecting Libya are at notably high levels. Institutional risk affects development, and contributes substantially to the overall risk situation in Libya. The main risk factors leading to vulnerability, including water scarcity and unemployment, as well as the main risk factors leading to low resilience, namely water withdrawals and security, are also at high levels.

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